Ethetha kuthotho lweForam ye-55th Anniversary Forum yaseDelta, ethi “Energy’s New Frontier: From Buildings to AI”, uGqr. Lovins uqaphele ukuba uyilo oludibeneyo aluyoteknoloji entsha, kodwa yindlela eyahlukileyo yokucinga. Uyilo lobunjineli bendabuko ludla ngokuqala ngokuphucula izinto ngazinye ngaphambi kokuba luzidibanise. Nangona kunjalo, uyilo oludibeneyo luyayiguqula le ndlela: luqala ngenkqubo iyonke, luchaze iinjongo ezifunwayo, luze luyile izinto ngazinye ukuxhasa iinjongo. Lelona candelo lingajongwanga kakhulu lenguquko yamandla enamacandelo amane etshintsha ngokukhawuleza ihlabathi ukusuka ekungasebenzi kakuhle ukuya ekusetyenzisweni ngokufanelekileyo, amafutha efosili ukuya kwizinto ezivuselelekayo, amafutha ukuya kumbane, kwaye abekwe kwindawo enye ukuya kwizixhobo ezisasazwayo. Oku akufuneki mlingo, imimangaliso, okanye ubuchwepheshe obutsha, kodwa ingqondo yabaqalayo nje, ukucinga kwenkqubo yonke, uyilo olulula kakhulu, kunye nengqwalasela ecokisekileyo kwiinkcukacha—kwaye emva koko ukulisebenzisa kufuna ukhuphiswano, idiplomacy, kunye nomonde ongapheliyo.
UGqr. Lovins ubonise ukuba izakhiwo zisebenzisa isithathu kwisine sombane waseMelika nesiqingatha sehlabathi. Uhlala kwindlu yethu eyakhiwe ngumniniyo engenankqubo yokufudumeza, i-2200m phezulu kwiintaba zeRocky kufutshane ne-Aspen, apho amaqondo obushushu ayehla aye kwi -44˚C. Le ndlu incede ekukhuthazeni izakhiwo ezininzi zaseYurophu ezingenazo izixhobo zokufudumeza kunye neendleko zokwakha eziqhelekileyo. Ngokuyila okudibeneyo—okuphucula ukugquma, ukuphucula iinkqubo zomoya, ukuyila ngokutsha izibane—ukusetyenziswa kwamandla okwakha kunokuncitshiswa kakhulu.
Imizi-mveliso isebenzisa isiqingatha samandla ehlabathi. Iinkqubo zemibhobho ezidityaniswe nezi zixhobo zihlala ziyilwe kakubi, nto leyo ebangela ukulahleka kokungqubana okungeyomfuneko. Ukuba imibhobho yamanzi yemizi-mveliso ibingenziwa ibe banzi kwaye iqine ukuze kupheliswe ukungqubana, bekungayi kusindiswa kuphela i-90% yombane, kodwa iipompo ezinkulu nezibizayo zinokuncitshiswa, kwaye iipompo ezingafunekiyo zinokususwa.
Amaziko edatha nawo anamandla amakhulu okonga amandla. Ngo-2003, xa amaziko edatha ayesebenzisa ubuncinane amandla aphindwe kabini ukuxhasa iiseva kunalawo okuzisebenzisa, i-RMI yahlanganisa iingcali zoshishino ezingaphezulu kwama-90 yaza yafumana iindlela zokonga malunga nama-89% okusetyenziswa kwamandla okuqhelekileyo, mhlawumbi nge-capex ephantsi, ukwakhiwa okukhawulezayo, kunye nokusebenza ngcono kunye nexesha lokusebenza. Ukonga kwenzeke kumanqanaba amaninzi—uyilo lwenkqubo, isoftware, ukuqokelela, izixhobo, kunye nezixhobo.
Ukusebenza kakuhle kwamandla kwihlabathi liphela kwaphindaphindeka phantse kabini ukusuka kumaxesha eNeolithic ukuya kutsho ngo-1820, kwaza kwaphinda kathathu kwakhona, kodwa ngoku kungaphinda kabini kwakhona ngeendlela eziqhelekileyo, kwaye kungaphinda kathathu kwakhona ngokongeza "uyilo oludibeneyo" - iindlela eziqinisekisiweyo zokuphucula izakhiwo, izithuthi, kunye neefektri njengeenkqubo ezipheleleyo. Oko kukuthi, ukuhlanganiswa kokusebenza kakuhle kwamandla kwihlabathi liphela ngoku kunokuphinda-phinda, ukuze kube nenzuzo enkulu kwezoqoqosho nokhuseleko. Amakhulu emizekelo esebenzayo abonisa ixabiso eliqinileyo lale ndlela kuphuhliso lwaseTaiwan kunye nokuqina.
Kwinkqubo yotshintsho lwamandla, ukongeza ekuphuculeni ukusebenza kakuhle kwamandla ngoyilo oludibeneyo, ukusetyenziswa kwamandla avuselelekayo kubalulekile ekuqiniseni ukhuseleko lwamandla. I-Bloomberg (i-New Energy Finance) iqikelela ukuba amandla avuselelekayo ngo-2023 ayeyona ndlela ingabizi kakhulu yokwenza isiqingatha ukuya kwisibini kwisithathu sombane omkhulu wehlabathi okhonza isithathu kwisihlanu se-GDP yehlabathi kuquka iYurophu, iIndiya, iTshayina, neBrazil. Nangona inkxalabo eqhelekileyo malunga namandla avuselelekayo kukuguquguquka kwawo, ukutshintsha akufani nokungathembeki. Ngobuchwepheshe bokuqikelela, iinkqubo zokugcina amandla, kunye nolawulo lokuphendula kwemfuno, igridi eqhutywa ngamandla avuselelekayo inokusebenza ngokuthembekileyo ngokufanayo—kwaye lo ngumbane othembekileyo nococekileyo ofunekayo kwixesha le-AI.
Isitshixo sotshintsho lwamandla sisekuyileni nasekusebenziseni iinkqubo zamandla ngobulumko ngakumbi. IDelta izibophelele ekuphuculeni ukusebenza kakuhle kwamandla ngokubonelela ngezisombululo zamandla kunye nolawulo lobushushu ukusuka kwigridi ukuya kwitshiphusi kunye nokunceda amaziko edatha e-AI ukuba aphucule ukusebenza kakuhle kwamandla. Ukongeza, ngokusebenzisa ii-microgrids, iDelta idibanisa amandla avuselelekayo, iiseli ze-hydrogen fuel, kunye nokugcinwa kwamandla ukuze kuthunyelwe ngobuchule imithombo yamandla kunye nokuqinisa ukuqina kwegridi. Ukuzinikela kwethu ekuphuculeni ukusebenza kakuhle kwamandla kuxhase ukukhula kweshishini lethu, kubonakalisa ifilosofi kaGqr. Lovins yokuba iinkampani zinokufikelela kwinzuzo kunye nokuzinza. Ukusukela oko safikelela kwincopho yokukhutshwa kwekhabhoni ngo-2017, iDelta iye yanciphisa ukukhutshwa kwekhabhoni ngokuthe chu ukususela ngo-2018 ngelixa ingeniso iqhubeka nokukhula, ibonisa ukwahlukana okucacileyo kokukhula kweshishini kwi-carbon emissions. Siphinda isikhumbuzo sikaGqr. Lovins sokuba "sivelise kwaye sithabathe," masiqhubeke kunye ngokwamkela ingqondo yokuthabatha ukuze sifezekise ukuzinza okwabelwanayo kwaye sakhe ikamva elingcono.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Agasti-07-2026
